Science · Fueling

Session CHO/EE from training load (Rothschild 2025)

How Koyaro estimates session carbohydrate use (g) and energy expenditure (kcal) from cycling TSS plus fitness covariates using Rothschild et al. Sports Med 2025 Table 3 GEE models — distinct from in-ride target g/h (#606) and post-ride refill from mechanical work (#204).

Last reviewed · Part of Koyaro’s public science knowledge base — the same method notes the coaching engine cites.

Athlete summary

In-ride fueling still shows a target carbohydrate rate (g/h) from duration and session demand. Separately, when we know your TSS, session type (continuous vs intervals), sex, VO₂ at VT2, and (for CHO) prior-day training load, Koyaro can estimate how much carbohydrate and energy the session burned — so fueling copy can say “target X g/h · estimated burn ~Y g”.

This does not replace:

Engine formulas (Table 3 — TSS, cycling)

Cite-locked GEE coefficients from Rothschild, Hofmeyr, McLaren & Maunder, Sports Med 2025;55:753–774 (doi 10.1007/s40279-024-02131-z). OSF data/code: https://osf.io/nqsu7/.: copy published coefficients — do not invent.

TSS → CHO (g)

CHOg = −28.01
  − 38.39 · I(continuous)
  − 21.69 · I(sex=female)
  + 0.007 · TSS2
  + 1.43 · durationmin
  + 32.51 · VT2 VO2 (L/min)
  − 0.062 · prior−day sRPE−TL

Primary-study apparent MAE ≈ 16.1 g (Table 3).

TSS → EE (kcal)

EEkcal = −709.07 + 5.3 · TSS + 7.56 · durationmin + 225.35 · VT2 VO2 (L/min)

Primary-study apparent MAE ≈ 55.1 kcal (Table 3). EE does not use prior-day load.

Why TSS

TSS was the only load metric that matched CHO cost between long LIT and short HIIT in the primary study — intensity-weighted load is the right expenditure proxy for cycling v1.

Prior-day sRPE-TL bridge

When prior-day sRPE-TL is missing but prior-day TSS is known, the paper’s optional bridge is used and labeled approximate:

sRPE−TL ≈ −65.4 + 5.18 · TSS

Inputs

InputSource
Session TSS (hrTSS on TSS scale)Activity / planned TSS
Continuous vs intervalSession role (endurance/recovery/tempo → continuous; vo2/threshold/… → interval) or IF hint
SexAthlete profile
VT2 VO₂ (L/min)Measurements catalog key vt2_vo2
Prior-day sRPE-TLSum of prior-day Foster sRPE loads; else TSS bridge

Limits (encode honesty)

  • Validated mainly on ≤ ~90 min mixed lab sessions; longer rides may overestimate CHO as RER drifts.
  • Fasted vs fed states not fully spanned.
  • Run / kayak need Table 4 sport calibration — out of v1 (cycling wedge only).
  • Does not invent VO₂ at VT2 from FTP watts.

Literature

  • Rothschild JA, Hofmeyr S, McLaren SJ, Maunder E. A novel method to predict carbohydrate and energy expenditure during endurance exercise using measures of training load. Sports Med. 2025;55:753–774. doi 10.1007/s40279-024-02131-z. OSF: https://osf.io/nqsu7/.

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